empty
24.03.2023 01:20 PM
Bitcoin recovers above $28k ahead of the weekend: Is the upside potential exhausted?

After a successful bullish week and a strong surge in volatility on March 22, trading activity in the cryptocurrency market fell slightly. Bitcoin managed to gain a foothold above $28k and consolidate for further attempts to move up.

The local positive in the crypto market is accompanied by forced and extremely alarming measures to stimulate the banking system from the Fed. Over the past two days, the department's balance sheet has grown by another $100 billion, and the figure of $2 trillion is getting closer every week.

This image is no longer relevant

Parallel to this process, USDT issuer Tether is also "printing" stabelcoins. Over the past few months, USDT has grown by $11.5 billion. In previous cases of significant increase in USDT volumes, Bitcoin has shown strong growth, but now the situation is fundamentally different.

Fundamental factors

Bitcoin managed to update the local price high thanks to the crisis in the U.S. banking system and the quick reaction of the Fed. As we reported earlier, the U.S. central bank is extracting about $95 billion from the U.S. economy every month, the equivalent of a 50 basis point rate hike.

This image is no longer relevant

In March 2023, the Fed launched a quantitative stimulus program for U.S. banks, and as of March 24, they injected more than $300 billion into the market against the planned $2 trillion. In other words, the Fed has taken actions equivalent to a 1.5% rate cut in just a month.

As a result, we see the market filling up with liquidity, primarily reflected in USDT Stablecoins. Most cryptocurrency exchanges have set records in terms of trading volumes over the past few days, indicating that there is a large buyer.

This image is no longer relevant

However, it is important to understand that, in the medium term, the Fed will return to its quantitative easing policy. The key rate level will be raised, and according to a BBG survey, investors are confident of further rate hikes and zero prospects of moving to an actual rate cut before 2024.

Time to take profit?

Given the above, there is no doubt that in the medium term, the bubble that the Fed is now involuntarily inflating will burst. It is also obvious that now is the best time for the final profit-taking on BTC, as the market is gradually gaining bearish sentiment.

This image is no longer relevant

Miners have reduced their holdings by 610 BTC in just three days. Glassnode and Santiment also point to the formation of profit-taking sentiment among BTC investors. The longer the price stays below $29k–$31k in consolidation, the more players will take profits.

This image is no longer relevant

Bitcoin made a final bullish dash to $28k, the momentum was not enough to partially consolidate in the wide trading area of $29k–$31.6k. This is a negative factor, which will worsen as BTC consolidates below $29k, because the sales volume in the mentioned area will continue to grow.

This image is no longer relevant

As a consequence, the probability of a full breakdown of the $29k–$31.6k area is minimal. Given the Fed's short-term policy, we can see powerful bullish impulses to work out this area and collect liquidity, but this will be hindered by pressure on the price due to profit-taking.

Results

Bitcoin received the maximum dividend from the Fed's short-term policy, but the asset failed to consolidate inside the key $29k–$31.6k resistance zone. This will significantly complicate the further upward movement of the asset, and given the growing profit-taking sentiment, you should count on false breakouts of tops within the range.

Seleccione el marco de tiempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
día
1
s.
Gana con los cambios en el valor de las criptomonedas con InstaForex.
Descarga MetaTrader 4 y abre tu primera operación.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    UNIRSE AL CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

El Bitcoin apunta a $90 000

Después de la reunión de ayer de la Reserva Federal, en la que el regulador se quedó sin muchos argumentos para mantener las tasas altas, el Bitcoin y Ethereum reanudaron

Jakub Novak 07:57 2025-03-20 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas para el 20 de marzo

El Bitcoin y Ethereum han vuelto a subir tras la reunión de ayer de la Reserva Federal, donde quedó claro que será necesario reducir las tasas

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:57 2025-03-20 UTC+2

Recomendaciones de trading en el mercado de criptomonedas para el 19 de marzo

El Bitcoin y Ethereum enfrentaron nuevamente dificultades tras otra venta masiva en el mercado bursátil estadounidense ayer. Sin embargo, compradores y grandes jugadores intervinieron nuevamente, absorbiendo todas las caídas

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:34 2025-03-19 UTC+2

El Bitcoin y Ethereum intentan subir, pero no es suficiente.

El Bitcoin y Ethereum continúan enfrentando ventas activas con el menor crecimiento, lo que indica que el mercado no está listo para un nuevo movimiento alcista. Seguramente todos esperarán

Jakub Novak 07:21 2025-03-18 UTC+2

Análisis BTC/USD. El 18 de marzo. El Bitcoin se prepara para crecer, pero existe el riesgo de colapso.

La estructura de ondas del gráfico de 4 horas para el instrumento BTC/USD es completamente clara. Después de la finalización de una fase de tendencia alcista compuesta por cinco ondas

Chin Zhao 07:21 2025-03-18 UTC+2

El Bitcoin y Ethereum muestran persistencia

El Bitcoin y Ethereum continúan intentando subir, y a pesar de que cada vez enfrentan dificultades, las posibilidades de un retorno al mercado alcista siguen siendo bastante altas. El Bitcoin

Jakub Novak 08:05 2025-03-17 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas el 17 de marzo

El Bitcoin y Ethereum continúan consolidándose dentro de sus canales, lo que permite anticipar la continuación del mercado alcista. Sin embargo, para ello es necesario cumplir con una serie

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:05 2025-03-17 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas el 14 de marzo

El Bitcoin y Ethereum se consolidan en canales, creando condiciones reales para una mayor caída, aunque muchos expertos insisten en que los mínimos ya han sido alcanzados

Miroslaw Bawulski 10:17 2025-03-14 UTC+2

Recomendaciones para operar en el mercado de criptomonedas el 13 de marzo

El Bitcoin y Ethereum están atrapados dentro de nuevos canales. Por un lado, esto es positivo, ya que la presión observada a principios de semana ya no está presente

Miroslaw Bawulski 07:24 2025-03-13 UTC+2

El Bitcoin se prepara para volver a subir

Mientras el Bitcoin y Ethereum se recuperan activamente de sus mínimos anuales, insinuando que aún no ha terminado y que el mercado alcista sigue en pie, la senadora Cynthia Lummis

Jakub Novak 14:35 2025-03-12 UTC+2
¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.