empty
InstaForex - Parceiro oficial da Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Parceiro oficial da Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
Como começar a negociar
Informação útil
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
Sistema PAMM
Sistema ForexCopy
Investimentos passivos
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Página Principal
Área do Parceiro
Vantagens para Afiliados
Registro
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Concursos
Eventos
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Fórums
Estamos nas redes sociais
Humor Forex
Portal Forex
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
História
Porque nos escolher
InstaSport
Regulamentação
Notícias da Empresa
Premiações
Estrelas da InstaForex
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Principais documentos
Responsabilidade Social
14.10.2022 11:32 PM
US consumer price report: no good news
Abrir conta de negociação Abrir conta demo

The US Department of Commerce has published a report on the level of consumer prices - for September. Stock markets were reacting lower

US consumer price report: no good news

This image is no longer relevant

According to the Ministry of Commerce, retail sales in the United States stalled last month. Experts see the reason that buyers have become more cautious about discretionary purchases amid the worst inflationary environment in recent decades and rising interest rates.

Although the cost of total retail purchases in September remained virtually unchanged after an upward revision of 0.4% in August, this is not very good news. As the season of preparation for winter begins, as well as the usual growth of business activity for autumn, this should lead to an increase in spending by Americans, as it happens every year. From buying winter tires and Christmas gifts to repairing roofs – that year, the usual practice for northern latitudes of preparing for the cold seems to be going too sluggishly.

Excluding gasoline, retail sales increased by only 0.1% (the figures are not adjusted for inflation).

Moreover, seven of the 13 retail categories declined last month, including a drop in revenue from car dealers, furniture stores, sporting goods stores and electronics sellers. The cost of sales at gas stations fell by 1.4%, reflecting lower fuel prices, but now prices are rising.

It is still difficult to say to what extent Hurricane Ian, which devastated Florida and parts of South Carolina at the end of last month, affected the overall picture. It can be assumed that residents of the southern states preferred to save on restaurants and entertainment, but then they had to increase their stocks, preparing for a meeting with the elements.

Weaker retail sales data highlights that consumers are under increasing pressure due to rampant price pressures. With inflation showing few signs of slowing, many Americans still rely on credit cards and savings to keep up, and having splurged on essentials, there are few funds left for secondary purchases.

This situation confirms the assumption that the Federal Reserve is not going to stop and is likely to increase the pace of interest rate hikes in order to suppress demand in the economy. Unfortunately, sales data show that this is already happening in the real sector and without the participation of the Fed (although there is no failure in the volume of transactions in financial markets).

The average bill in building materials stores fell by 0.4% after a significant increase in the previous two months, despite preparations for the cold weather. This only highlights the impact of higher borrowing costs. Mortgage rates are currently the highest in the last two decades, forcing Americans to squeeze in spending.

There are also growing risks that a tougher policy will lead the US into recession at a time when consumers are already ready to increase costs, which could make the recession even more painful.

Overall, the current data highlighted the seriousness of the Fed's inflation conundrum: a key consumer price indicator jumped to a 40-year high last month. Inflation is far outpacing wage growth, and most of the growth was due to jumps in the cost of food, housing and medical care, i.e. the essential segment.

In addition to the fact that the retail sales report has not been adjusted to account for price increases, it only briefly reflects the costs of services where Americans transfer more of their dollars. A more complete picture of September household demand, which includes both spending on services and inflation-adjusted data, will be released later this month.

Sales of the so-called control group, which are used to calculate gross domestic product and exclude catering services, car dealers, building materials stores and gas stations, rose 0.4% in September after an upwardly revised 0.2% increase in the previous month. This fully indicates that Americans are stockpiling ahead of the winter months, accompanied by inflation. It is also likely that this year the preparation for the Christmas holidays will begin in October. This means that December will not justify the hopes of economists placed on it, upsetting the markets with low sales, as it was last year.

Egor Danilov,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
AUD/USD. Previsão e análise O par AUD/USD tenta atrair compradores em sua recuperação a partir do nível psicológico de 0,5900, o mais baixo desde março de 2020. O movimento de alta superou a marca
Irina Yanina
14:21 2025-04-11 +02:00
1060
Forecast
USDJPY: Dicas simples de negociação para traders iniciantes - 10 de abril (sessão dos E.U.A.) Análise da Negociação e Dicas para Operar com o Iene Japonês O teste de preço em 146,88 ocorreu justamente quando o indicador MACD começava a subir a partir da linha
Jakub Novak
22:29 2025-04-10 +02:00
1135
Últimas Previsões Plano de Negociação Criptomoedas USD/RUB Economia Russa Análise em Vídeo
Instrumentos de Negociação
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Por que as ações estão subindo enquanto o yuan cai e os futuros dos EUA recuam?

Ações sobem, mas futuros dos EUA caem Ações chinesas sobem mesmo com o yuan atingindo a mínima de vários anos Ações europeias sobem após Trump suspender tarifas Rodada do mercado
Thomas Frank 18:19 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Mercado dos EUA em 10 de abril: Reações ao Alívio nas Tarifas e Expectativas

S&P 500 atinge nova máxima histórica, mas resistência em 5.669 permanece como principal obstáculo. Suspensão temporária de tarifas impulsiona os ganhos: S&P 500 e Nasdaq encerram o dia em alta
Irina Maksimova 18:06 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Bitcoin luta para encontrar apoio enquanto a turbulência tarifária agita os mercados globais

A principal criptomoeda segue em um estado instável, sem conseguir estabelecer uma base sólida. O Bitcoin enfrenta alta volatilidade e registrou perdas nesta semana. Ainda assim, especialistas permanecem otimistas, prevendo
Larisa Kolesnikova 15:18 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Resumo de notícias do mercado dos EUA para 9 de abril

Os índices acionários dos EUA encerraram o pregão em queda após o anúncio da Casa Branca sobre uma nova rodada de tarifas sobre produtos chineses. As alíquotas podem chegar
Irina Maksimova 18:16 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Efeito dominó: tarifas dos EUA derrubam mercados; investidores fogem do dólar e dos títulos

Tarifas de Trump sobre a China geram temores de recessão Os títulos do Tesouro dos EUA e o dólar são atingidos pela liquidação, e os rendimentos sobem Ações europeias caem
Thomas Frank 18:14 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Previsões para o ouro: US$ 3.500, US$ 3.700 - até onde pode subir?

As previsões para o ouro estão se tornando cada vez mais impressionantes em todos os sentidos, com analistas praticamente competindo entre si para estimar até onde o metal precioso pode
Larisa Kolesnikova 15:24 2025-04-09 UTC+2

Resumo de notícias do mercado dos EUA para 8 de abril

A mais recente rodada de tarifas impostas pelo governo Trump está reformulando as expectativas econômicas. O Goldman Sachs agora projeta uma recessão nos próximos 12 meses, enquanto analistas do JPMorgan
Ekaterina Kiseleva 18:38 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Mercados em tumulto: Dow despenca, ouro sobe, Trump aumenta a tensão

Índices: S&P 500 caiu 0,23%, Nasdaq subiu 0,10%, Dow caiu 0,91% O S&P 500 continua oscilando à beira de um mercado em baixa Trump ameaça mais tarifas sobre a China
Thomas Frank 17:25 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Mercados em montanha-russa: Dow despenca, ouro reage e Trump mantém investidores em alerta

As mudanças nos índices de Wall Street nas últimas 24 horas: o S&P 500 caiu 0,23%, o Nasdaq subiu 0,10% e o Dow caiu 0,91%. O S&P 500 ainda
15:27 2025-04-08 UTC+2

Guerra comercial: S&P 500 despenca 3%, Nikkei 6% enquanto os investidores se preparam para o pior

Futuros de Wall Street abrem em forte queda Os investidores temem uma recessão nos EUA em meio à escalada da guerra comercial. Trump anuncia tarifas maciças sobre os principais parceiros
Thomas Frank 18:30 2025-04-07 UTC+2

Principais análises

Relevância até 03:00 2025-04-12 UTC--4
Previsão para o GBP/USD em 11 de abril de 2025
14:30 2025-04-11
Technical analysis
Relevância até 06:00 2025-04-12 UTC--4
AUD/USD. Previsão e análise
14:21 2025-04-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevância até 12:00 UTC--4
Análise do EUR/USD - 10 de abril
22:23 2025-04-10
Wave analysis
Análise do GBP/USD - 10 de abril
22:13 2025-04-10
Wave analysis
Relevância até 03:00 2025-04-13 UTC--4
Mercado dos EUA tem forte recuperação, mas guerra comercial de Trump com a China segue sem solução
18:20 2025-04-10
Stock Markets
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.