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24.04.2025 11:33 AM
XAU/USD:分析與預測
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黃金顯示出積極的動能,試圖保持在$3300水平之上,顯示出投資者對這個傳統避險資產的興趣不斷增長。

美中貿易關係的不確定性—從美國財政部長Scott Bessent昨天的言論中凸顯出來—表明當前的僵局可能會比預期持續更久。此外,Donald Trump關稅政策的潛在後果正在營造出對黃金的強勢需求背景。

美聯儲的褐皮書指出,由於關稅變動,經濟中的不確定性上升,這可能限制未來幾個月美元的進一步增長。消費者支出數據喜憂參半以及勞動力市場降溫的跡象也促使經濟展望更加謹慎。疲軟的美元和市場對美聯儲更積極寬鬆政策的預期繼續支持貴金屬價格。

同時,對美中可能達成貿易協議的殘存希望幫助維持一定程度的市場樂觀情緒,這可能在短期內限制黃金的上行空間。

技術展望:

  • $3370正成為一個關鍵阻力水平。若能持續突破該水平,則可能打開更高目標的大門,包括$3400,接著是更強的阻力位於$3425,較大的目標仍為$3500。
  • 然而,如果黃金跌破$3300,這可能預示潛在回調的信號。第一道主要支撐位於$3260,跌破該水平將攸關重要,可能開啟進一步下行至$3250,甚至達到關鍵心理水平$3200。

不過,由於日線圖上的震盪指標仍然穩固在正值區域,黃金的廣泛走勢仍傾向上行。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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