Technical outlook:

USDMXN has dropped through the 20.25 mark on Monday after falling through the 20.70 high over the last week. The Mexican Peso might continue to get stronger as bears prepare to come back in control from here. The near-term target might be seen below the 19.40 mark to complete the pattern, which is unfolding since hitting the level of 22.15.

USDMXN has been dropping since the 22.15 high registered on November 26, 2021, and bears might be inclined to push it again below 19.40 before giving in to bulls. If the above structure holds well, bears might be inclined to take control from here breaking below the 19.40 mark. The recent boundary being worked upon is found between the 21.46 and 19.40 levels respectively.

USDMXN has also tested the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the above downswing around the 20.70 mark and hence high probability remains for a bearish turn from here. On the flip side, if bulls are successful in printing another high close to 21.46, the structure will turn in their favor. We shall update according to the price action going forward.

Trading plan:

Potential drop below 19.40 against 21.46

Good luck!